What up everyone? Another year another formula:)
For anyone who doesn’t know I developed a formula (as I often do) for NCAAF 2 years ago. It’s a relatively simple formula but seemed to do very well. The first year it went just shy of 60% through 100+ plays. In fact we were cruising above the 60% mark for most of the year and then a tough couple of weeks at the end kicked us under the 60%. Last year it regressed a little ending around 56%. I posted the first play last night and it was a big fat loss…..but that’s OK. Too much confidence too early can also be a bad thing:)
I have not changed a thing, not so much as a simple tweek since I first came up with this formula. Lets see how it does this year.
The first week I’m just rolling half units to get things rolling a bit.
Current record (0-1)
Boise St +10 -110
USC -6 -110
ND -5 -110
Penn St. -21 -110
To win 0.5u each.
Thanks everyone and GL