What up everyone?  Another year another formula:)

For anyone who doesn’t know I developed a formula (as I often do) for NCAAF 2 years ago.  It’s a relatively simple formula but seemed to do very well.  The first year it went just shy of 60% through 100+ plays.  In fact we were cruising above the 60% mark for most of the year and then a tough couple of weeks at the end kicked us under the 60%.  Last year it regressed a little ending around 56%.  I posted the first play last night and it was a big fat loss…..but that’s OK.  Too much confidence too early can also be a bad thing:)

I have not changed a thing, not so much as a simple tweek since I first came up with this formula.  Lets see how it does this year.

The first week I’m just rolling half units to get things rolling a bit.

Current record (0-1)

Boise St +10 -110

USC -6 -110

ND -5 -110

Penn St. -21 -110 

To win 0.5u each.

Thanks everyone and GL