The Toronto Raptors are 16-4 straight up and 12-7-1 against the spread in their last 20 games against the Milwaukee Bucks. With one more win over the Bucks this Thursday night in Game 6, the Raptors can punch their ticket into the second round of the playoffs.
Toronto is a 1.5-point road underdog in Milwaukee at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Raptors were a 2-point underdog in their last two road games at Milwaukee in this series.
The Raptors fell into a 1-2 series hole after losing Game 3 by a score of 104-77, their second double-digit loss to Milwaukee in three games. Toronto responded with a gritty defensive performance in Game 4, holding the Bucks to just 76 points on their home court in an 87-76 win.
That momentum carried into a 118-93 blowout win in Game 5 and has set the stage for a potential closeout game for the Raptors in Milwaukee. The team is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games against the Bucks.
Dating back to 2001, Toronto is just 4-24 SU and 11-17 ATS in its last 28 postseason road games per the OddsShark NBA Database. The win in Game 4 broke an 0-6 SU and ATS slump.
Betting Line / Total: Milwaukee -1.5 / 195 Points
Trend: The Raptors are 11-17 ATS in their last 28 playoff road games.
Trend: The Bucks are 7-10 ATS in their last 17 playoff games.
Milwaukee’s offense has hit a rut at an inopportune time, averaging just 84.5 points per game over the last two games in this series after putting up 100.3 points per game through the first three games of the series.
With the exception of Game 5, the Bucks have done a good job of keeping Toronto’s explosive offense in check this postseason, but they’ll need to find their own rhythm on offense again if they hope to extend this series. The Bucks are 4-13 SU and 7-10 ATS in their last 17 playoff games.
Thursday’s total is set at 195 points. The UNDER is 13-4-1 in Milwaukee’s last 18 postseason games.
Despite the close nature of this series with both team splitting at home and on the road through the first four games, all but one game has been decided by 11 points or more. Milwaukee will try to get back on the right side of a blowout and force a Game 7 with a home win.
Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks
When: Thursday, April 27, 7:00 p.m. ET
Where: Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin