The Miami Dolphins are 1-6 straight up and 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games against the Baltimore Ravens. The Dolphins hope to figure out the Ravens on the road Thursday.
Miami is a 3.5-point road underdog at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In their last 15 night games, the Dolphins are just 3-12 ATS.
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens
When: Thursday, Oct. 26, 8:25 p.m. ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Betting Line / Total: Baltimore -3.5 / 37.5 Points
The Dolphins opened their season with an uninspiring 1-2 SU and ATS record, losing to the New York Jets 20-6 and New Orleans 20-0. Since then, the Dolphins are 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS after avenging their road loss to the Jets with a win at home last Sunday.
Matt Moore was thrust into the starting role last week and threw two touchdown passes in the final 12 minutes of the game to lead the Dolphins to a comeback win. Moore will start again Sunday as Jay Cutler is out with a rib injury.
In 11 instances as a betting underdog since Oct. 16 of last season, Miami is 7-4 SU and ATS per the OddsShark NFL Database. The Dolphins are 6-3 SU and ATS in their last nine games on the road.
In contrast to the Dolphins, Baltimore got off to a strong start in 2017 with back-to-back blowout wins over Cincinnati and Cleveland. The Ravens are 1-4 SU and ATS since then, averaging just 14 points per game in those four losses.
Joe Flacco has been awful under center for Baltimore, owning the second lowest passer rating among starters in the NFL at 70.0 and the lowest yards per attempt with only 5.31. Baltimore is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games played in October.
Thursday night’s total is set at 37.5 points. The UNDER is 12-1 in Miami’s last 13 October road games.
The 37.5-point total in this game is one of only three totals on the board this week set lower than 44 points. With Flacco failing to generate any big plays and Miami down to its third-string quarterback, this doesn’t look on paper to be a very awe-inspiring matchup.
Miami ranks dead last in the NFL in yards per game with 261.8 per game and yards per play with 4.29 per play, so maybe a quarterback change isn’t such a bad thing for the Dolphins.